5 things that need to happen for Bitcoin to stay above $100k

Sustained U.S. Spot ETF Inflows: Consistent net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs, particularly BlackRock’s IBIT, are essential to absorb supply and maintain upward momentum. Three to five consecutive days of inflows could clear resistance at $114,000–$117,000, potentially pushing prices toward the October high of $126,000. 2. Holding Key Support at $107,000: Bitcoin must maintain closes above the $107,000–$109,000 support zone, where dense realized-price clusters exist. A break below this level risks a drop to $93,000–$95,000, signaling a potential crash scenario. 3. Managed Options Skew and Volatility: The 25-delta skew and DVOL index need to avoid persistent put-rich signals and sharp volatility spikes, which indicate heightened crash risk. Stable or call-leaning skew with moderate DVOL supports range stability or upward moves. Show Less

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